Judging by tomorrow’s weather forecast, I’ll be having my first cancellation. Can’t say that I’m surprised or disappointed, since I’ve been rather expecting this.
EGBB 131647Z 140024 18010KT 9999 BKN025
TEMPO 0018 7000 RA BKN012
BECMG 0306 19018G28KT
PROB30 TEMPO 0312 4000 +RA BKN008
PROB30 TEMPO 1016 19020G38KT
BECMG 1720 22017KT
Cloud at or lower than 2,500 ft all day with rain showers and a 30% probability of heavy rain.
On the bright-side, the week-ahead forecast doesn’t look too bad for Friday right now; so maybe booking two lessons this week was prescient.
Update: as expected, the flight was cancelled.
But whose were those chances?
Here in .au, the common two are “Buckleys and Nunn” (cf http://www.anu.edu.au/andc/ozwords/Oct%202000/Buckley's.html).
I’m guessing you didn’t grow up around here.. so I’m assuming you had different chances?